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The Colorado River is over allocated, which means, there's actually more rights to water, than there reliably is water in the river every year. Now, you' have a perfect storm.
Can the Colorado River's normal flow meet all of the current water rights?
hat is baseflow of a river?
How was the baseflow of the Colorado river set for the Colorado Compact in 1922? Was the data good?
How long was the record? What does the record show the average baseflow to be based on the last century?
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